Economics of a Disaster
When a large disaster hits a community or a region it brings commerce to a halt, often for weeks. It is common knowledge that many small businesses go out of business because they cannot “weather the storm.” A business that is currently losing money or not making much money is very vulnerable to any down time. They cannot afford to lose their customer base to another business who is able to open. These small businesses are concerned about getting open soon – to get money flowing in, to keep employees working and paid. Basically, without money coming in the business cannot pay employees or their commitments. When employees don’t get paid they cannot purchase and they cannot pay their commitments. The circle of the economics in the region is flat – halted and in trouble. When no money circulates – no one has it. We are all dependent upon money changing hands every day. I pay you, you buy groceries, the grocery company pays for the product and operational costs which enable all companies involved to stay in business.
A quick and straight forward example would be the island of Kuai in Hawaii. In 1992 Hurricane “Iniki” devistated the island and the tourists were evacuated along with some residents. Everything came to a quick halt. Being isolated made the challenge even harder. Islands are extremely dependent upon goods from other places. With no tourists there is little money coming in – especially when the crops were shredded as well.
What can be done to jump start this island economy again? I was a part of the solution. I will answer this a little later.
Businesses
Medium to Large companies/corporations carry insurance for interruptions and disasters but that insurance often has a very high deductible. It is often in the millions of dollars per occurance. Large companies are generallly not looking for government assitance with their loss. However, some medium and most certainly many of the small businesses do look for federal assistance. Either they don’t have insurance, are under insured or they do not have the ability to come up with the deductible on their own by way of their cash reserves or via a loan at a local bank. If they have great insurance, they will be better off even though recovery may still be slow.
Homeowners
Homeowners that have a mortgage have income coming in via some type of job or another source. A large portion of the jobs are usually a part and parcel of the local economy – although certainly not all. When your house is damaged and your family is placed into a tough situation, it can be extremely stressful to be suddenly not able to go to your home and now you must live elsewhere. The infrastructure is damaged – life seems to be focused on survival – not necessarily starvation but emotional and phyiscal survival. The business you work for is also down. So even if you could go to work, you can’t. I have to admit, fear comes upon you when you think about no home, no work and the area is turned upside down. But most people well react if given an opportunity and some way to do so – some hope. If there is light at the end of the tunnel, we all want to move towards it. But who will provide that light? Who do I have to pay to get the light turned on so to speak?
I cannot pay my mortage, I don’t have much cash on hand and my credit cards will be maxed out soon. I have no income and my home and belongings are destroyed. I am hurting – my whole family is hurting. I want this feeling to end!
State and Local Government
Management of highways, bridges, stop lights, police, fire, ambulance, emergency response, security/safety of the inhabitants falls upon State and Local Governments. The infrastructure of the region can be severely damaged. So much so that even if your home is liveable and your job still needs you to get there, it might be impossible. You might be restricted from leaving your area or from entering another area. You are not alone in this problem either. You need things back to normal as quickly as possible. But, how will that happen and who will do it?
Federal Government
States have some reserve funds for disasters but it usually doesn’t go very far. They call upon FEMA and SBA to assist them and the businesses of the area. If money can be infused and used to repair or rebuild the infrastructure, to repair and rebuild businesses and even repair and the rebuild of homes that are not insured or that are underinsured, then we can get a jump start to getting the circle of the economy going again.
FEMA will help the State pay for the costs involved in repair or replacement of roads, bridges and all aspects of the infrastructure including clean up. FEMA can help stabilize families for a short period of time through Individual Assistance by way of “grant” money. They will quickly determine if your home is “safe, habiltable and secure.” If a small grant will help the home be that way then here comes the grant money. However, if a small amount of money won’t do it a family is then refered to the Small Business Administration’s Disaster Loan Program. SBA does an assessment of damages to the home, determines what if anything your insurance company will pay for and then tries to provide you with a low interest loan for the difference or the whole amount. The loan is payable over 20-30 years so that it is affordable. Even if your insurance should happen to cover the damages, but you are in a long term dispute with the insurance company, SBA can help by loaning the money to you until the insurance proceeds come in. SBA is then paid back by the insurance proceeds (hopefully for all of it but if not, SBA will carry the difference). You are then returned back to normal sooner than without that help. If your insurance is “Johnny on the Spot” and will cover everything, then you chose wisely.
If a business has no insurance or is under insured the SBA will determine the damages to the facility, to equipment and to your inventory due to the disaster. If possible, SBA will provide you with a low interest loan to begin repairs, to buy inventory, to repair/replace damaged equipment and they will spot you operating funds to get going again. The sooner you get open, the sooner you can pay for employees to return and of course serve your customers.
Benefits to Government Involvement
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You could have your business saved
You could have your home back to predisaster condition
You go back to work
You can travel freely again
Your kids can go back to school
You can get help for your home and personal belongings
You get some help – a jump start to recovery
What Benefit does Government get from helping?
Taxes are being paid again because the circle of the economy is going again. Certainly they are to help those who need help and that is a higher cause but initially, if the government didn’t get involved, many would have to turn to welfare and other programs paid for by other tax payers. You see, everything has to be in place again for you to return to “normal.” FEMA does not buy you a new home or anything like that and SBA really does make you pay them back. The government is not free insurance in this case. If so everyone would drop their home owners and wait for the government to hand them the money. No, it is much wiser than that. I have seen it work well since the 70′s when I saw it first in action.
Hits on FEMA and SBA
They don’t move fast enough. They get that a lot of course. They are not first responders – it isn’t in their charter even though people expect them to be first responders. Could they move faster though? Yes, they are improving delivery every year of their programs. You have to know that the State must request disaster assistance from FEMA and SBA. The feds cannot overstep their bounds as states have rights in this area. The states are to shoulder the role of emergency management/first resonders until the federal government is involved. Then it is a coordinated effort. The scenes of Katrina still plague us. There was a break down at all levels of government. Local, State and yes Federal. The winds didn’t do the horrific damage, it was the water from a break in the levy. Far too many people were not evacuated from New Orleans like they should have – busses didn’t run. Nursing homes were still full. The plan broke down and everyone went to the superdome. You all know the history there. The lessons learned are many. But you must know that is was the infusion of Federal Money combined with private donations and private citizens that helped New Orleans recover. The circle of economy was slow to get started. Initially there wasn’t a large enough customer base for businesses because the homes weren’t habitable in a reasonable time frame. They weren’t getting repaired – there was an insurance battle going on behind the scenes over coverages for hurricanes versus water intrusion. Besides, without a proper solution to the levy system, no one could get a permit or insurance. I have been there many times since Katrina and each time the city looks better than the last but it still isn’t 100% back to normal. New Orleans needs tourism to survive and it is slowly coming back as well.
Conclusion
Government does serve a vital role in disasters. It makes state and local entities have disaster plans which have to be tested. It encourages individuals and businesses to have disaster plans. It carries the expertise and the equipment to step in to assist us in getting back to normal. No matter how bad the rap is that it gets, it doesn’t shy away from the powerful role that they must play. That FEMA or SBA worker that is there to help has left their family in love ones to assist you. It isn’t easy to be in a disaster zone for them either. Lodging and food are basic – difficulties exist but they complete their jobs and then go home with some satisfaction that they helped make a difference when a difference was critically needed.








